2014 Lok Sabha elections will be remembered in India as most important election at least for the first half of this century. In 2014 India will be a 67-year-old democratic country still very young and tender but has managed to stay a democratic country since Independence. People who guided India in to a democratic society were brilliant, democrat and incorruptible. They knew what is freedom and the cost India has paid to meet it. Our biggest achievement in last 65 years is all the government which has been selected in state or central are democratically elected government (except for the period of emergency in 1975). The election process may be flawed but we have manged to stage elections and a belief in electoral process has been installed. Except this we have failed miserably as a democratic country.
The metamorphism of Political parties in Indian democracy in to family run business firm and its acceptance on Public forum and media has been the major cause of . Naturally the trend was started by Congress and especially by Indira Gandhi and then the trend went on to capture the imagination of regional Political leaders. From Tamilnadu to J&k we have Political Parties like DMK , Jammu and Kashmir National Conference following the ideology of Congress which is not democratic but monarchy.
Biggest problem Indian democracy is not religious extremism but the rise and complete hold of monarchy system inside the functioning of Political Parties in a democratic India. Rahul Gandhi will be certainly promoted as the leader of Congress in 2014 election and it will be of extreme importance for Congress to win the election. Pranab Mukherjee who could have been one of the best bet for India as a Prime Minister was sidelined by giving presidential post. Inside congress now Rahul Gandhi can certainly stand as a PM candidate with the surrendered support of all Senior or Junior leaders. There is a unique divine acceptance of Gandhi’s as a leader in Congress and a utter disgusting lack of competition among other leaders for most powerful post of India. 2014 general elections can be considered as the launchpad for Rahul Gandhi’s active Political career as a PM of India and that’s why it is of utmost importance for Congress to win 2014 election otherwise monarchy will start crumbling.
Congress has solved the internal problem and there are two problems outside of Congress. These two problems are the most successful CM of last decade. Narendra Modi and Nitish Kumar are external Leader who will naturally outsmart Rahul Gandhi as a leader.
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NDA will never accept Narendra Modi as a candidate since it wants to keep up the secular image and in BJP no one has the ability to surpass Narendra Modi as a PM candidate. If NDA will go for election in 2014 as NDA naturally Nitish Kumar will be the PM candidate which will be unacceptable to BJP and especially Narendra Modi. It is not easy to solve the conundrum of NDA, BJP , Narendra Modi and Nitish Kumar because in 2015 Bihar state elections is also scheduled to happen. The most fruitful stage for NDA can be if these two forces Nitish Kumar and Narendra Modi will support each other for 2014. Narendra Modi + Nitish Kumar is the equations which will be the nightmare for the Congress.
Narendra Modi is a leader who has the ability to polarize the Hindu votes and Nitish Kumar can be equally powerful in providing the combination a secular image. These two CM has exemplary record of development and tuning between Nitish Kumar and Narendra Modi can be an undefeated combination.
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The nightmare for NDA and especially for BJP will be if NDA will not accept Narendra Modi as PM of India in 2012 no one can have an insight in 2014 still the chances are high because state election will happen in Bihar in 2015. Congress must be analyzing the situation very closely.
The biggest problem for NDA will be a third front or a crisis inside NDA. NDA should work hard to be united and to fought election with a UPA in crisis through a series of corruption charges. One thing for sure congress will be certainly benefited by a third front.
There will be third front for sure but who will lead this third front. The parties who will play major role in creating a third front will be state parties SP, TMC, NCP or DMK. Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mamta Banerjee appeared to be enthusiastic about their chances in 2014. These parties and the ambitions of the supremo of these parties will also decide the direction of 2014 election and India.
Best opportunity for Congress will be NDA without any leader. 2014 elections will be a turning point for Indian democracy and India.